After Honest Vic placed at 33s on Saturday, and with Coole Cody and Ivanovich Gorbatov both placing at 50/1 the previous week, we finally got the break we deserved at Navan on Sunday. Dragon Houdini was backed all the way into 10/1 from 50s, and bar a hairy jump at the last the result was never in doubt. She can progress upped further in trip and Shane Crawley should have plenty of fun with her.
|Brecon Hill’s form looks solid.|
I have put up an old friend of the blog for the Eider Chase at Newcastle for TXODDS and you can check it out by clicking here. The Dovecote Hurdle is one of the big races of the day at Kempton and I like one each way at a massive price. Sarah Humphrey is far from a household name, and the majority of racing fans probably have never heard of her. Toby Jug is probably the best she has trained, but Brecon Hill could turn out to be the horse that puts her on the map.
This son of Arcano has improved rapidly on his last three hurdle starts, and his second behind Brewinupastorm is one of the best pieces of form in the race. He was only 4L behind him when runner up at Huntingdon (16f gd/sft) on ground soft enough for him, and his conqueror was beaten just 4L by Champ in a Grade 1 next time and fell at the last when leading in a Grade 2 at Cheltenham on his last start.
Brecon Hill proved that effort was no fluke when winning decisively at Leicester over 15.5f on his next outing. I liked how he stuck on under pressure, and he pinged the last in the manner of a good horse. I thought he showed a nice enough turn of foot too after jumping the final hurdle and it was overall a very impressive performance.
Connections have wasted no time in stepping him up in grade, and this is undoubtedly a tough race. However, if this horse was trained by one of the bigger yards, there is no way he would be as big as 40/1. Going right handed suits this fella, as do flat tracks, so he has plenty in his favour. The booking of Daryl Jacob suggests that connections mean business and at monster odds Brecon Hill is worth chancing each way for small stakes.
STEVOS’ SELECTION: 3.00 KEMPTON – BRECON HILL E/W @ 40/1